Ruin probabilities for Lévy processes with mixed-exponential negative jumps

Ruin Probabilities and Overshoots for General Lévy Insurance Risk Processes

We formulate the insurance risk process in a general Lévy process setting, and give general theorems for the ruin probability and the asymptotic distribution of the overshoot of the process above a high level, when the process drifts to −∞ a.s. and the positive tail of the Lévy measure, or of the ladder height measure, is subexponential or, more generally, convolution equivalent. Results of Asm...

Importance sampling approximations to various probabilities of ruin of spectrally negative Lévy risk processes

This article provides importance sampling algorithms for computing the probabilities of various types ruin of spectrally negative Lévy risk processes, which are ruin over the infinite time horizon, ruin within a finite time horizon and ruin past a finite time horizon. For the special case of the compound Poisson process perturbed by diffusion, algorithms for computing probabilities of ruins by ...

Exponential Models: Approximations for Probabilities

Welch & Peers (1963) used a root-information prior to obtain posterior probabilities for a scalar parameter exponential model and showed that these Bayes probabilities had the confidence property to second order asymptotically. An important undercurrent of this indicates that the constant information reparameterization provides location model structure, for which the confidence property ...

Ruin probabilities for competing claim processes ∗

Let C1, C2, . . . , Cm be independent subordinators with finite expectations and denote their sum by C. Consider the classical risk process X(t) = x+ct−C(t). The ruin probability is given by the well known Pollaczek-Hinchin formula. If ruin occurs, however, it will be caused by a jump of one of the subordinators whose sum constitutes C. Formulae for the probability that ruin is caused by Ci are...

Exact Ruin Probabilities for Lévy Processes